cutting-2023-11-27-05-29-24-utc-1024x663 Public Debt Management: Walking a Tightrope Between Growth and Crisis

Pakistan’s Debt Profile
Pakistan’s total public debt has crossed PKR 65 trillion (USD 225 billion) as of December 2023, reflecting a 70% debt-to-GDP ratio, well above the 60% limit prescribed in the Fiscal Responsibility Act.

Debt Breakdown (FY 2023-24)

Type of DebtAmount (PKR Trillion)% of GDP
Domestic Debt35.237.8
External Debt29.832.2
Total Public Debt65.070.0

Challenges in Debt Management

  • Short-Term Borrowing Risks: 52% of Pakistan’s debt is short-term, increasing rollover risks.
  • Currency Depreciation: The PKR depreciated 22% in 2023, making external debt more expensive.
  • Ballooning Interest Payments: Debt servicing consumes 58% of government revenue, crowding out development spending.

Recommendations for Sustainable Debt Management

  1. Long-Term, Low-Cost Borrowing: Negotiating concessional loans with IMF, World Bank, and ADB can reduce financing costs.
  2. Debt Transparency: Publishing quarterly debt reports and ensuring fiscal discipline can restore investor confidence.
  3. GDP Growth Strategy: Expanding exports, boosting FDI, and privatizing loss-making SOEs can reduce debt reliance.

Without structural reforms, Pakistan risks falling into a debt trap, where new borrowing is needed just to service existing debt.